What is Biden’s Responsibility for the Economy?

There is no arguing that prices are higher than they were 4 years ago. That’s a fact.

However, regardless of who was in office, the worldwide economy would have played out similarly to how it is today. Prices here in the United States (groceries, housing, anything really) would have been comparable under any President.

Of the 196 tracked countries around the world, all have experienced inflation in the past 4 years. The U.S. is at the bottom 37% (123rd of 196) as far as inflation goes. Of course you shouldn’t believe me and do your own research. But if you don’t want to here is one article I found that seems succinct and where I came up with the bottom 37% number https://gfmag.com/data/economic-data/worlds-highest-lowest-inflation-rates/

So why is the economy worse? Did Biden cause it? Is it because the world is laughing at the old man in office and how incompetent the U.S.? Is it because of the immigrants (which many first world countries are experiencing btw; but a story for another day).

NO.

The economy would have been as bad as you think it is because COVID disrupted supply chains. People stocked up on food, office furniture and baking goods around the world. They saved money because there was nowhere to spend it except on goods (services of all kinds were unavailable) and almost all our governments put in place some kind of allowance so people without jobs would have money. Supplies that were coming in were backed up in shipping containers at harbors trickling in very slowly and so the demand for wanted goods drove up prices. Job growth slowed around the world. People learned how to do with less very quickly. Services industries all fell.

When worldwide COVID restrictions eased, many people had saved money so they didn’t need it right away and didn’t go back to work for those 2nd jobs or back to the office when they worked remotely. Other than more money in their pockets, many people feared going back to work and getting sick from the virus. Many companies took advantage of “working from home” by hiring the best of the best for higher salaries.

When restrictions lifted around the world people emerged from their homes figuratively hungry to be back in the world and not so eager to work in it. Restaurants, travel, and tourism all surged but they hadn’t yet replenished the workforce they let go. Suddenly we couldn’t fill service level jobs and job growth hit an all time high. To keep the few service workers from not quitting or calling out sick every day, companies paid them more. Where did they get the money from to pay everyone more in the service industries and by recruiting cream of the crop workers who wanted to work from home? Well that would be through increasing the prices all through the supply chain just a bit – which ends up being a lot for that same good or service at the end of the supply chain… That would be us as the consumers.

That’s a simple explanation of something WAY more complicated. There are multiple more layers, but almost none of them have to do with anyone who runs a country. This is a worldwide issue, not just a U.S. one.

Unless you studied business or economics, you probably never really learned how the economy works. You might recall some terms from high school social studies like invisible hand and laisse faire; but how do they apply to real life for our country and our country’s place in the world?

The government itself has a great influence over the economy. Not due to Republican or Liberals who are in office, but due to how much we close or open money flow based on predictions about how the market will go. It’s a gamble. The President is not very involved in those decisions and can do very little to strong arm those decisions. The people making those gambly (not a real word) predictions are Economists who work with very complicated statistical predictions and other world-wide economists who also work with complicated predictive programs and calcuations.

It’d be less of a gamble if the United States were in a bubble, because we’d be gambling at least with the knowledge of what we know and can control. But the International market (trade, finance, stocks, reliance of companies that supply multiple countries) make it very hard to predict what will happen and how to reign in or open up money flow. Throw in stock crashes, scandals, wars, pandemics and it’s even more and more of a gamble.

Yes, there could be some change or influence by who is in office, but not as much as you think. Not enough for a normal person in the 99.9% to notice much of a difference in their household budget.

This isn’t just me being Pollyanna or not understanding how the world works.

Why not learn about why not I’m BS’ing you? There are some resources below – or you can do your own research too.

It’s fun to know how things work.

#Learning bit

#It’s fun to learn how things work

#Take a bite a day

https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/brief/global-inflation

https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/brief/global-inflation#:~:text=In%20July%202022%2C%20global%20inflation,above%20the%20pre%2Dpandemic%20average

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/06/15/in-the-u-s-and-around-the-world-inflation-is-high-and-getting-higher/

Was COVID-19 Inevitable?

Was something of this magnitude such as COVID-19 inevitable?

 

The current rate of change has risen exponentially in the 20th century. Because of the scale and how close recent time could show on a graph, it’s nearly impossible to see the impact of the rate of change since the industrial revolution because it is nearly vertical.

 

Recently something crazy happened on here….

 

After the Internet and Genome Project we became mobile. There isn’t even a place to put Mobile because it has changed the world so quickly that it’s almost as if they curve needs to go backwards to show the rate of change with population growth. It’s scientifically impossible for time to go backwards. On a flat graph it is a mathematical impossibility if the Y axis literally cannot go anywhere but up (so change can’t move) but the X axis must go on (time). Perhaps that is where we are in time – coming back to a state of being able to keep up.

 

As a society it’s imperative that we do more with less and back off from the expectation of instant gratification. Is any layperson suffering without Amazon packages arriving the next day? Does it hurt to plan grocery deliveries a few days ahead? Far more quickly than our ancestors who harvested and planted months ahead of time had to plan!

 

Societally our expectations are unrealistic.

 

These expectations are raping the earth and our resources at a rate that we cannot keep up with. Furthermore, the disbursement of resources over the human population is implausibly skewed. We are living unsustainably.

 

Yesterday I watched an interview from 1957 with Carl Jung. Over 60 years ago Jung stated that man is his own greatest enemy. Our minds, our fears, and the pursuit of more is a danger to the world. All we need to do is change our minds, our attitudes, and our expectations. If we live in gratitude with what we have, we would cease to take more than we need, and we would be part of the tipping point to bring the planet back into balance.

 

Humans couldn’t do anything about it, so maybe nature did. Let’s work with nature and give more than we receive for the greater good. Something will prevail. Let it be nature – because if man does, there might be nothing left.

 

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